How to Future audiobook cover - Leading and Sense-making in an Age of Hyperchange

How to Future

Leading and Sense-making in an Age of Hyperchange

Scott Smith with Madeline Ashby

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Key Takeaways from How to Future

Learning Tools

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Mind Map

How to Future
Core Concepts of Futuring
Definition
Purpose
Managing Uncertainty
Phase 1: Scoping the Exercise
Define Objectives
Identify the Audience
Build a Diverse Team
Phase 2: Sensing & Scanning
Sensing (Broad Observation)
Scanning (Targeted Research)
Identifying Trends & Drivers
Phase 3: The STEEP Framework
Categorize Trends
Document Details
Reveal Blind Spots
Phase 4: Mapping Horizons & Probabilities
Future Horizons
The Three P's
Timeline Allocation
Phase 5: Roadmapping & Storytelling
Generating Threads
Dynamic Adaptation
Crafting Narratives
Addressing Concerns
Best Practices
Continuous Process
Embrace Outliers

Quiz — Test Your Understanding

Question 1 of 9
What is the primary goal of 'futuring' according to the text?

How to Future — Full Chapter Overview

How to Future Summary & Overview

How to Future (2020) arms you with a structured approach to prepare for multiple futures, as a business and an individual. In a fast-moving world where so much seems unpredictable, we can orient ourselves toward plausible future scenarios by recognizing changing trends in information – and using these observations to inform strategic decisions. In a business setting, effective futuring can mean the difference between relevance and obsolescence. 

Who Should Listen to How to Future?

  • Business or government leaders looking to future-proof their organizations
  • Knowledge-hungry people interested in futurology
  • Futurist writers looking to hone their skills

About the Author: Scott Smith with Madeline Ashby

Scott Smith is the founder and managing partner of Changeist, a consulting company that conducts futures research for businesses, NGOs, and governments. Changeist’s clients include Nokia, NASA, UNICEF, and the UK government. This is his first book.

Madeline Ashby is a science-fiction writer and consulting futurist. In addition to authoring Company Town and the Machine Dynasty book series, Ashby has also written numerous short stories and is a regular contributor to Slate and the MIT Technology Review.

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